Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -150 FAMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -0.3 (-7.3) | 128.6 (-5.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -1.0 (-8.0) | 130.6 (-7.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -0.8 (-7.8) | 131.2 (-8.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -0.2 (-7.2) | 129.7 (-6.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2021 | NCCU 74 – 71 FAMU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | FAMU 60 – 47 NCCU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | FAMU 59 – 50 NCCU |
Game Analysis
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