Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +110 NCCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +9 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -0.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -1.2 (+7.8) | 141.6 (-32.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -1.3 (+7.7) | 139.1 (-30.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -0.8 (+8.2) | 143.4 (-34.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.9 (+8.1) | 141.6 (-32.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2021 | NCCU 74 – 71 FAMU |
| Mar 4, 2021 | FAMU 65 – 58 NCCU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | FAMU 60 – 47 NCCU |
Game Analysis
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