Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +140 NCCU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +13 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -2.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.7 (+10.3) | 135.1 (-28.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.8 (+10.2) | 134.0 (-27.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.5 (+10.5) | 136.6 (-29.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -2.8 (+10.2) | 133.8 (-26.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2021 | NCCU 74 – 71 FAMU |
| Mar 4, 2021 | FAMU 65 – 58 NCCU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | FAMU 59 – 50 NCCU |
Game Analysis
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