Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -175 DAY +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -6.1 (-1.1) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.8 (+0.2) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.2 (-1.2) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.3 (-1.3) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | VCU 70 – 62 DAY |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VCU 68 – 62 DAY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VCU 99 – 73 DAY |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DAY 79 – 76 VCU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VCU 73 – 68 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#46) | 6.3 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#46) | 1.21 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#51) | 1.91 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#24) | 0.547 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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