Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +140 MUR -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -0.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -0.8 (+2.2) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.6 (+2.4) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -1.2 (+1.8) | 137.8 (-4.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -1.0 (+2.0) | 140.3 (-7.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2021 | JXST 87 – 74 MUR |
| Jan 22, 2021 | JXST 85 – 82 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#164) | -1.12 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -1.32 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.456 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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