Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -300 JXST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -1.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+38.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -0.9 (-3.9) | 133.3 (+33.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -0.5 (-3.5) | 134.0 (+33.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -0.1 (-3.1) | 134.8 (+32.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -0.4 (-3.4) | 134.2 (+32.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2021 | JXST 68 – 65 MUR |
| Feb 26, 2021 | JXST 87 – 74 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#207) | -1.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#271) | -0.13 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#264) | -0.07 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#275) | 0.499 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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