Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -600 ASU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -13.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -11.6 (+2.4) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -10.1 (+3.9) | 147.5 (-11.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -11.9 (+2.1) | 149.1 (-13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -11.4 (+2.6) | 148.1 (-12.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#14) | 4.9 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#35) | 0.71 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#27) | 0.98 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#29) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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