I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Allen Fieldhouse · March 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread KU -16.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money KU -2500 / UTEP +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +5 129 Won
Massey KU -15.2 (-10.2) — —
Massey Totals — 135.3 (-6.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -11.4 (-6.4) 135.5 (-6.5) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -13.8 (-8.8) 136.4 (-7.4) 88% ✓
Baseline ML KU -14.3 (-9.3) 136.5 (-7.5) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -12.6 (-7.6) 138.3 (-9.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 8, 2021 KU 78 – 52 UTEP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU UTEP
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Massey 14.4 (#18) 1.7 (#136)
Bradley-Terry 2.97 (#7) -0.01 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.48 (#13) 0.18 (#163)
RPI 0.606 (#19) 0.506 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors KU UTEP
FG% 43.6% 41.9%
3PT% 33.6% 33.7%
REB / G 38.3 32.6
OREB / G 11.6 8.5
AST / TO 1.11 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 48.0%
TOV% 17.8% 16.0%
ORB% 31.9% 24.1%
FT Rate 21.7% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 18.8%
DRB% 73.2% 74.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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