Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +26 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | KU -22.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -19.5 (+6.5) | 145.3 (-15.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -18.0 (+8.0) | 148.9 (-18.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -19.9 (+6.1) | 149.1 (-19.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -20.4 (+5.6) | 148.6 (-18.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2021 | KU 67 – 62 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 9-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#11) | -0.6 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#21) | -0.81 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.39 (#8) | -1.22 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#20) | 0.379 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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