Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -188 FGCU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -4.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -2.6 (-14.6) | 135.9 (-3.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -2.1 (-14.1) | 135.4 (-3.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -2.9 (-14.9) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.4 (-14.4) | 135.9 (-3.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FGCU 77 – 53 LIP |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIP 86 – 71 FGCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIP 84 – 77 FGCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIP 82 – 68 FGCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIP 98 – 72 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 10-8 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#245) | -8.5 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#241) | -1.12 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#243) | -1.65 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#186) | 0.418 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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