Betting Lines
| Spread | BUF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BUF -200 KENT +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUF +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BUF -5.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUF -4.9 (+9.1) | 154.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUF -3.0 (+11.0) | 153.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUF -4.6 (+9.4) | 155.6 (-7.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUF -4.9 (+9.1) | 154.5 (-6.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-9 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#66) | 5.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#139) | 0.80 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#115) | 1.03 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#136) | 0.550 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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