Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -1000 TCU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -14.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -12.7 (-3.7) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -11.0 (-2.0) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -12.0 (-3.0) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -11.9 (-2.9) | 146.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#21) | 2.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#6) | 1.43 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#9) | 1.32 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#4) | 0.541 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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