And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Bellarmine Knights
70 – 73
FINAL Neutral Conference ASUN
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · UNF Arena (Neutral) · March 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -6.0 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money BELL -240 / STET +198
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual STET +3 143 Lost
Massey BELL -5.9 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 143.9 (-0.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -5.5 (-8.5) 143.3 (-0.3) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -3.8 (-6.8) 136.3 (+6.7) 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BELL -5.3 (-8.3) 140.4 (+2.6) 71% ✗
Baseline ML BELL -5.1 (-8.1) 144.7 (-1.7) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 BELL 92 – 71 STET
Feb 25, 2025 STET 69 – 67 BELL
Jan 25, 2025 STET 81 – 76 BELL
Feb 7, 2024 STET 84 – 77 BELL
Jan 12, 2023 STET 80 – 51 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL STET
Overall 14-8 12-15
Conference 10-3 7-9
Home 6-4 7-5
Away 7-2 3-8
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.7 69.1
Avg Pts Against 68.9 71.9
Massey -0.2 (#170) -6.1 (#266)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#186) -1.30 (#272)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.30 (#192) -1.35 (#261)
RPI 0.510 (#153) 0.442 (#277)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL STET
FG% 49.7% 43.1%
3PT% 36.4% 36.8%
REB / G 29.9 33.6
OREB / G 8.1 9.4
AST / TO 1.32 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.5% 50.9%
TOV% 17.4% 19.5%
ORB% 27.3% 27.1%
FT Rate 21.5% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 23.3% 18.0%
DRB% 72.2% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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