This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Utah State Aggies
72 – 59
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · March 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread USU -16.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money USU -2000 / WYO +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total USU win
Actual USU +13 131 Won
Massey USU -16.2 (-3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 152.2 (-21.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML USU -14.1 (-1.1) 150.9 (-19.9) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ USU -14.3 (-1.3) 148.6 (-17.6) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML USU -13.6 (-0.6) 151.5 (-20.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML USU -14.7 (-1.7) 151.8 (-20.8) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 USU 85 – 83 WYO
Jan 29, 2026 USU 94 – 62 WYO
Feb 5, 2025 USU 71 – 67 WYO
Dec 5, 2024 USU 70 – 67 WYO
Feb 15, 2024 USU 84 – 76 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USU WYO
Overall 20-9 14-11
Conference 15-4 7-9
Home 10-2 7-5
Away 7-3 4-5
Neutral 3-4 3-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.0 76.6
Avg Pts Against 62.3 75.5
Massey 11.2 (#37) -2.4 (#203)
Bradley-Terry 1.53 (#63) 0.46 (#134)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#71) 0.42 (#145)
RPI 0.572 (#47) 0.478 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors USU WYO
FG% 45.1% 44.2%
3PT% 34.3% 34.8%
REB / G 40.6 32.8
OREB / G 12.6 8.5
AST / TO 1.17 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 52.7%
TOV% 19.9% 16.1%
ORB% 35.5% 23.5%
FT Rate 21.7% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.1% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 18.6%
DRB% 79.9% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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