Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | USU -1200 WYO +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +32 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | USU -11.4 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -12.3 (+19.7) | 145.7 (+10.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | USU -12.7 (+19.3) | 143.2 (+12.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | USU -10.5 (+21.5) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -10.4 (+21.6) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USU 71 – 67 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 15, 2024 | USU 84 – 76 WYO |
| Jan 10, 2024 | USU 83 – 59 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#34) | 6.8 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#42) | 0.41 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#50) | 0.66 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#28) | 0.514 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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