Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | USU -1600 WYO +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | USU -18.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -16.0 (+8.0) | 147.2 (-5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -17.9 (+6.1) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -15.4 (+8.6) | 146.6 (-4.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -15.8 (+8.2) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USU 94 – 62 WYO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USU 71 – 67 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 15, 2024 | USU 84 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#29) | -1.7 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#10) | 0.07 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#20) | 0.04 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.677 (#4) | 0.516 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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