Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +250 USU -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -9.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -8.3 (+0.3) | 147.6 (+12.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -8.8 (+0.8) | 146.2 (+13.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -6.9 (-1.1) | 147.1 (+12.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -8.5 (+0.5) | 147.2 (+12.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USU 94 – 62 WYO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USU 71 – 67 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Jan 10, 2024 | USU 83 – 59 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#176) | 12.4 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#126) | 2.68 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#142) | 2.77 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#121) | 0.636 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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