Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Utah State Aggies
70 – 67
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · December 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread USU -18.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money USU -3000 / WYO +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total USU win
Actual USU +3 137 Won
Massey USU -24.6 (-21.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML USU -16.0 (-13.0) 145.0 (-8.0) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ USU -16.0 (-13.0) 143.9 (-6.9) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML USU -16.1 (-13.1) 145.4 (-8.4) 91% ✓
Baseline ML USU -17.2 (-14.2) 144.8 (-7.8) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 USU 85 – 83 WYO
Jan 29, 2026 USU 94 – 62 WYO
Feb 5, 2025 USU 71 – 67 WYO
Feb 15, 2024 USU 84 – 76 WYO
Jan 10, 2024 USU 83 – 59 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USU WYO
Overall 26-8 12-20
Conference 15-5 5-15
Home 15-2 8-7
Away 7-4 3-10
Neutral 4-2 1-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 78.8 65.8
Avg Pts Against 70.5 70.7
Massey 14.5 (#23) -5.1 (#260)
Bradley-Terry 4.28 (#5) -0.34 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry 6.33 (#6) -0.78 (#225)
RPI 0.727 (#5) 0.469 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors USU WYO
FG% 47.4% 42.9%
3PT% 33.8% 29.2%
REB / G 41.7 41.7
OREB / G 14.8 13.7
AST / TO 1.44 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 47.5%
TOV% 16.6% 21.3%
ORB% 42.0% 37.1%
FT Rate 29.6% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 21.7% 13.7%
DRB% 70.6% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 16.1% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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