Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +380 USU -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -9.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -8.8 (+4.8) | 136.9 (+1.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -8.8 (+4.8) | 136.1 (+1.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -8.1 (+4.1) | 137.0 (+1.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -8.7 (+4.7) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USU 94 – 62 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 15, 2024 | USU 84 – 76 WYO |
| Jan 10, 2024 | USU 83 – 59 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#167) | 12.4 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#158) | 2.73 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#167) | 3.32 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#184) | 0.613 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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