Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -900 OKST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -14.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -12.5 (-1.5) | 156.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -11.6 (-0.6) | 152.4 (-1.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -12.5 (-1.5) | 155.4 (-4.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -12.0 (-1.0) | 156.1 (-5.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BAY 74 – 68 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-1 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 22.5 (#2) | 11.1 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.66 (#2) | 2.95 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.61 (#2) | 3.71 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#3) | 0.618 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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