Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -333 AAMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +15 | 85 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -7.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (-37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -7.0 (+8.0) | 127.1 (-42.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | JKST -6.7 (+8.3) | 129.9 (-44.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | JKST -5.9 (+9.1) | 127.1 (-42.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -6.7 (+8.3) | 126.4 (-41.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AAMU 100 – 91 JKST |
| Jan 14, 2025 | JKST 103 – 93 AAMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | JKST 75 – 67 AAMU |
| Jan 10, 2023 | JKST 72 – 64 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2022 | AAMU 60 – 58 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 6-9 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 4-9 |
| Home | 6-0 | 5-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#287) | -13.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#198) | -1.48 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#245) | -2.86 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#161) | 0.410 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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