Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -425 AAMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +10 | 196 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -13.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+52.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -10.1 (-0.1) | 142.2 (+53.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -10.3 (-0.3) | 143.3 (+52.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -9.3 (+0.7) | 143.0 (+53.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -10.0 (-0.0) | 143.0 (+53.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AAMU 100 – 91 JKST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | JKST 75 – 67 AAMU |
| Jan 10, 2023 | JKST 72 – 64 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2022 | AAMU 60 – 58 JKST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | JKST 50 – 35 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-9 |
| Away | 6-15 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#309) | -18.5 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#287) | -3.09 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#283) | -3.81 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#200) | 0.341 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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