Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 119.0 Under |
| Money | AAMU +110 JKST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -1.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -2.1 (+4.1) | 123.3 (-5.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.6 (+3.6) | 125.8 (-7.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -1.8 (+3.8) | 125.9 (-7.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -1.7 (+3.7) | 124.7 (-6.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AAMU 100 – 91 JKST |
| Jan 14, 2025 | JKST 103 – 93 AAMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | JKST 75 – 67 AAMU |
| Jan 10, 2023 | JKST 72 – 64 AAMU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | JKST 50 – 35 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.4 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#318) | -4.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#302) | -1.15 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#298) | -1.73 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#311) | 0.471 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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