Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +220 JKST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -5.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -5.5 (-2.5) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -4.0 (-4.0) | 147.8 (-5.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -4.9 (-3.1) | 149.6 (-7.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -4.9 (-3.1) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AAMU 100 – 91 JKST |
| Jan 14, 2025 | JKST 103 – 93 AAMU |
| Jan 10, 2023 | JKST 72 – 64 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2022 | AAMU 60 – 58 JKST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | JKST 50 – 35 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-2 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#347) | -4.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#333) | 0.07 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#344) | -0.39 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#318) | 0.515 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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