Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | JKST -220 AAMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -5.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -1.6 (+6.4) | 147.1 (-11.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | JKST -4.2 (+3.8) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | JKST -2.4 (+5.6) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -2.9 (+5.1) | 145.5 (-9.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | AAMU 100 – 91 JKST |
| Jan 14, 2025 | JKST 103 – 93 AAMU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | JKST 75 – 67 AAMU |
| Jan 11, 2022 | AAMU 60 – 58 JKST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | JKST 50 – 35 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-14 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#323) | -9.9 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#294) | -2.12 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#334) | -2.76 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#282) | 0.368 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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