Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +560 MORG -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +25 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -15.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -12.3 (-12.7) | 155.8 (+3.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -9.4 (-15.6) | 154.6 (+4.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -11.7 (-13.3) | 157.3 (+1.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -11.7 (-13.3) | 158.3 (+0.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Game Analysis
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