Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -225 ORST +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -5.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -4.8 (-9.8) | 134.4 (+10.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -3.3 (-8.3) | 131.2 (+13.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -3.8 (-8.8) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -4.6 (-9.6) | 134.1 (+10.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | ORST 92 – 85 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTAH 74 – 47 ORST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UTAH 63 – 44 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTAH 79 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#87) | 4.1 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#96) | 0.87 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#87) | 1.42 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.512 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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