Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -200 UCLA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -2.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.1 (+4.9) | 138.5 (+17.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.3 (+5.7) | 134.1 (+21.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.3 (+4.7) | 137.6 (+18.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.6 (+4.4) | 137.4 (+18.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#37) | 10.9 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#29) | 2.19 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#33) | 2.78 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#35) | 0.599 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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