Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BU -275 LEH +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | BU -9.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -8.5 (+2.5) | 142.4 (-15.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -8.4 (+2.6) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -9.5 (+1.5) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -9.3 (+1.7) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Game Analysis
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