George Mason
Patriots
73
–
59
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Atlantic 10
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GMU -300 GW +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +14 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -7.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -7.8 (+6.2) | 139.4 (-7.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -6.9 (+7.1) | 139.1 (-7.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -7.8 (+6.2) | 140.0 (-8.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -7.4 (+6.6) | 140.1 (-8.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | GW 72 – 53 GMU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | GMU 69 – 64 GW |
| Mar 14, 2025 | GMU 80 – 65 GW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GMU 53 – 50 GW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GMU 80 – 77 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 5-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-5 |
| Home | 7-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-4 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#123) | -4.2 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | -1.06 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#127) | -0.77 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#136) | 0.453 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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