George Mason
Patriots
80
–
65
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Atlantic 10
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | GMU -190 GW +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -3.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -2.4 (+12.6) | 131.1 (+13.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -3.3 (+11.7) | 132.8 (+12.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -3.0 (+12.0) | 130.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -2.8 (+12.2) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | GW 72 – 53 GMU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | GMU 69 – 64 GW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | GMU 53 – 50 GW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | GMU 80 – 77 GW |
| Feb 14, 2024 | GMU 90 – 67 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 18-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#88) | 3.0 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#59) | 0.53 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#61) | 0.70 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#30) | 0.527 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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