Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -138 UNA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -0.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -0.7 (-8.7) | 140.6 (-12.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -0.3 (-8.3) | 139.6 (-11.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -1.0 (-9.0) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.7 (-8.7) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UNF 105 – 91 UNA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNA 83 – 70 UNF |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNA 90 – 84 UNF |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UNA 79 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNA 91 – 78 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-15 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 7-8 |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#296) | -9.6 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#290) | -1.44 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#284) | -1.83 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#275) | 0.434 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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