Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -2500 KENN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -18.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -15.5 (-5.5) | 134.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -14.6 (-4.6) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -15.5 (-5.5) | 133.0 (-5.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.2 (-5.2) | 134.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 2-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-3 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#89) | -12.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#105) | -3.08 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#98) | -3.25 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#101) | 0.392 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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