Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | RID +225 MONM -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -5.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -4.1 (+1.1) | 157.5 (-6.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.1 (+1.1) | 152.5 (-1.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -4.7 (+1.7) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -4.4 (+1.4) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 RID |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RID 88 – 62 MONM |
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 72 – 68 RID |
| Mar 5, 2022 | RID 74 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MONM 60 – 58 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 1-8 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#285) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#266) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#266) | 0.18 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#267) | 0.553 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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