Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -1600 AMCC +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -16.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -15.9 (+7.1) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -13.6 (+9.4) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -15.5 (+7.5) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -15.7 (+7.3) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2021 | SHSU 75 – 70 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 2-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#174) | -14.2 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#119) | -4.23 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#141) | -5.13 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#52) | 0.372 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.