Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC +400 SHSU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -10.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.7 (+4.7) | 138.5 (+6.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.3 (+3.3) | 141.5 (+3.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -8.8 (+3.8) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -9.9 (+4.9) | 138.8 (+6.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2021 | SHSU 84 – 61 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#334) | -0.9 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#342) | 1.45 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.05 (#345) | 1.68 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.342 (#342) | 0.580 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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