What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · March 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money EWU -1000 / IDST +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual IDST +5 131 Lost
Massey EWU -14.7 (-19.7) — —
Massey Totals — 142.1 (-11.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -13.2 (-18.2) 143.7 (-12.7) 87% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -10.2 (-15.2) 140.5 (-9.5) 84% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -12.0 (-17.0) 141.4 (-10.4) 85% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -12.5 (-17.5) 142.6 (-11.6) 84% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 EWU 88 – 75 IDST
Jan 17, 2026 EWU 84 – 66 IDST
Mar 1, 2025 IDST 78 – 54 EWU
Jan 31, 2025 IDST 78 – 70 EWU
Feb 16, 2024 EWU 88 – 82 IDST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU IDST
Overall 16-8 13-11
Conference 12-3 8-6
Home 7-2 8-3
Away 6-5 5-5
Neutral 3-1 0-3
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.2 61.8
Avg Pts Against 71.0 64.5
Massey 5.0 (#100) -7.2 (#274)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#136) -1.50 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#120) -2.09 (#302)
RPI 0.555 (#73) 0.433 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU IDST
FG% 47.3% 42.4%
3PT% 37.5% 31.6%
REB / G 35.6 34.1
OREB / G 7.8 9.4
AST / TO 1.28 0.64
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 48.5%
TOV% 16.4% 24.4%
ORB% 24.0% 30.1%
FT Rate 25.1% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 18.4%
DRB% 73.9% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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