Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DAY -150 URI +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -0.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -0.6 (+11.4) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -0.6 (+11.4) | 140.3 (+15.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -1.2 (+10.8) | 141.9 (+14.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -1.1 (+10.9) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#92) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#82) | 0.35 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | 0.91 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#98) | 0.489 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.