Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV +450 SDSU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -12.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -10.9 (+1.9) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.8 (+0.8) | 129.5 (+3.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -10.9 (+1.9) | 132.5 (+0.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -10.2 (+1.2) | 132.2 (+0.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SDSU 89 – 86 UNLV |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SDSU 82 – 71 UNLV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNLV 74 – 67 SDSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNLV 76 – 68 SDSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SDSU 74 – 71 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 61.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#183) | 14.2 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#170) | 2.47 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#181) | 2.92 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#195) | 0.627 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.