Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -300 SEMO +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -8.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -7.6 (-0.6) | 137.6 (-22.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -6.6 (+0.4) | 135.4 (-20.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -7.9 (-0.9) | 136.5 (-21.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -7.3 (-0.3) | 136.9 (-21.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#146) | -7.3 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#109) | -1.43 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#123) | -1.91 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#61) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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