Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +188 SPU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -0.1 (+4.9) | 130.7 (-5.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -0.4 (+5.4) | 135.5 (-10.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.1 (+5.1) | 134.2 (-9.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.1 (+5.1) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 61.5 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#253) | -1.4 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#246) | 0.14 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#247) | 0.15 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#284) | 0.510 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.