Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · March 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -7.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money NEB +300 / RUTG -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +21 123 Won
Massey RUTG -6.8 (+27.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (-13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -6.0 (+27.0) 137.5 (-14.5) 27% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -4.1 (+25.1) 139.6 (-16.6) 38% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -4.8 (+25.8) 139.9 (-16.9) 35% ✗
Baseline ML RUTG -4.9 (+25.9) 138.1 (-15.1) 32% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 80 – 68 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 85 – 82 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 67 – 56 RUTG
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 87 – 82 NEB
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 82 – 72 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB RUTG
Overall 7-20 16-12
Conference 3-16 10-10
Home 6-9 10-4
Away 1-10 4-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 69.2
Avg Pts Against 74.6 67.6
Massey 3.4 (#121) 12.7 (#29)
Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#169) 2.23 (#31)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#154) 3.12 (#22)
RPI 0.469 (#228) 0.571 (#50)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB RUTG
FG% 40.9% 45.6%
3PT% 33.0% 32.2%
REB / G 35.9 35.8
OREB / G 8.9 10.1
AST / TO 0.89 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 50.9%
TOV% 19.2% 16.2%
ORB% 23.2% 28.4%
FT Rate 20.5% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 19.0%
DRB% 70.6% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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