Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -900 UCSD +610 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -12.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.8 (+0.2) | 141.1 (-2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.6 (+0.4) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -11.6 (-0.6) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -11.7 (-0.7) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#113) | -6.4 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#125) | -1.26 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#110) | -1.60 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#90) | 0.452 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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