Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -150 L-MD +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -6.8 (+1.2) | 138.4 (-14.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -6.2 (+1.8) | 136.7 (-12.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -7.2 (+0.8) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -7.0 (+1.0) | 137.4 (-13.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NAVY 78 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NAVY 87 – 71 L-MD |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NAVY 81 – 68 L-MD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | L-MD 75 – 74 NAVY |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NAVY 64 – 48 L-MD |
Game Analysis
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