Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -125 IOWA +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -0.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.9 (-18.9) | 159.5 (-29.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.6 (-16.6) | 153.6 (-23.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.7 (-16.7) | 156.4 (-26.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.6 (-18.6) | 156.7 (-26.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OSU 72 – 69 IOWA |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | IOWA 77 – 70 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | OSU 82 – 65 IOWA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 83.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#7) | 19.1 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#4) | 2.87 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.38 (#4) | 4.12 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#13) | 0.586 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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