Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CIN +150 MEM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -4.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -1.5 (-4.5) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -3.3 (-2.7) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.3 (-3.7) | 138.3 (+15.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -2.2 (-3.8) | 139.4 (+14.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | MEM 76 – 73 CIN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MEM 75 – 68 CIN |
| Feb 16, 2022 | MEM 81 – 74 CIN |
| Jan 9, 2022 | MEM 87 – 80 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Home | 5-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | 9.9 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#79) | 1.65 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#89) | 2.36 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#63) | 0.550 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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