Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -250 CIN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -5.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -6.8 (-3.8) | 155.5 (-6.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.2 (-4.2) | 153.7 (-4.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.0 (-4.0) | 155.0 (-6.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.7 (-3.7) | 156.2 (-7.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MEM 75 – 68 CIN |
| Feb 16, 2022 | MEM 81 – 74 CIN |
| Jan 9, 2022 | MEM 87 – 80 CIN |
| Feb 28, 2021 | MEM 80 – 74 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 16-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#41) | 8.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#35) | 1.01 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#21) | 1.26 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#20) | 0.544 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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