Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -1.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -0.3 (-7.3) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -0.8 (-6.2) | 140.4 (+14.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -0.4 (-6.6) | 140.1 (+14.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -0.1 (-6.9) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | MEM 76 – 73 CIN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MEM 75 – 68 CIN |
| Jan 9, 2022 | MEM 87 – 80 CIN |
| Feb 28, 2021 | MEM 80 – 74 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#76) | 11.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#98) | 1.42 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#89) | 2.30 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#101) | 0.580 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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