Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -167 MEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -2.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -2.9 (-9.9) | 154.3 (-11.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -2.2 (-9.2) | 152.3 (-9.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -2.4 (-9.4) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -2.3 (-9.3) | 150.9 (-7.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | MEM 76 – 73 CIN |
| Feb 16, 2022 | MEM 81 – 74 CIN |
| Jan 9, 2022 | MEM 87 – 80 CIN |
| Feb 28, 2021 | MEM 80 – 74 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#62) | 9.6 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#83) | 1.97 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#88) | 2.63 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#81) | 0.609 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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