Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -6.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -4.1 (+2.9) | 142.9 (+24.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.8 (+1.2) | 142.2 (+24.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -5.9 (+1.1) | 139.5 (+27.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -5.4 (+1.6) | 140.2 (+26.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | MEM 76 – 73 CIN |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MEM 75 – 68 CIN |
| Feb 16, 2022 | MEM 81 – 74 CIN |
| Feb 28, 2021 | MEM 80 – 74 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#36) | 7.9 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#85) | 0.87 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#52) | 1.56 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#81) | 0.512 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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